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BSB Sentiment Index
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Sentiment Score
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Proprietary Multi-Factor Model Composite score derived from our exclusive quantitative framework. Methodology and publisher identity undisclosed.
Zone Indicator
Extreme
Fear
Fear Neutral Greed Extreme
Greed
Historical
Yesterday
1 Week
1 Month
1 Year
Sentiment Trend
+ SPY Daily
Extreme Fear Fear Neutral Greed Extreme Greed
SPY
Up day Down day EMA 9 EMA 21
HURST CYCLE OSCILLATOR
Fast Osc Slow Osc OB / OS
Daily Analysis — April 16, 2026

Indicators: SPY pushed through 700 and closed at 701.66, reclaiming the pre-selloff level for the first time since mid-March. EMA9 (684) continues to pull away from EMA21 (674), widening the bullish spread. The rally from the March 30 low of 631 now stands at over 11% in twelve sessions. The FastOsc remains deep in overbought at 1.21 — this is the fourth consecutive session above 1.0, which historically precedes either consolidation or a sharp continuation squeeze.

Sentiment: The BSB score surged to 47.73, approaching neutral territory for the first time since the selloff began. The move from extreme fear (7.76 on March 30) to near-neutral in under three weeks is aggressive — the market is repricing risk fast. The speed of this recovery suggests either genuine fundamental improvement or a short squeeze that could reverse quickly.

What to watch: The 700 level is now the psychological pivot — holding above it on a closing basis would confirm a regime shift from recovery to re-accumulation. Today's high of 702.78 is the level to break for further upside. The extended overbought oscillator (1.21 FastOsc, fourth day running) is a warning flag — even in strong trends, a 1-3 day pullback to the EMA9 around 684 would be healthy. A break below the April 8 gap at 676 would invalidate the recovery thesis.

The BSB Sentiment Index is an educational tool only. Nothing here constitutes investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Trading involves risk of loss. Full disclaimer →

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Banana Street Bets is an anonymous market intelligence operation. The publisher's identity is intentionally undisclosed — not because we have something to hide, but because we believe the analysis should stand on its own without the noise of personality.

What we can tell you: the BSB Sentiment Index is built on a proprietary quantitative model developed over years of market observation. The daily charts and weekly research are the product of that same framework, applied consistently, without agenda.